Global Markets Rattled as French Unrest, UK Profit Warnings and China Growth Shape Business Outlook
Oct 19 – Global business news was dominated Monday by a convergence of pressures, including violent street protests in France unsettling European markets, a surge in profit warnings from UK-listed companies linked to the Middle East conflict, and stronger-than-expected economic growth in China driven by an artificial intelligence export boom.
France was at the center of investor anxiety after violent protests over the weekend led to thousands of arrests, with public buildings burned and hundreds of shops looted across the country, according to The Guardian. The unrest triggered a fresh wave of selling in French bond and stock markets, widening the gap between French and German borrowing costs. Chris Beauchamp, chief market analyst at investing and trading platform IG, said investors worried about political flashpoints would be watching France nervously, adding that the country's precarious financial situation meant the riots could be a foretaste of what is to come should any government attempt to reform public spending. Violent protests in Italy compounded the pressure, with The Guardian reporting that both countries' turmoil sent the euro lower and triggered a broader European stock and bond sell-off.
In the United Kingdom, consultancy EY-Parthenon reported that UK-listed companies issued 65 profit warnings in the three months to the end of September, the highest level in two years, according to The Guardian. The consultancy attributed the rise in part to surging costs linked to the war in the Middle East. The warnings come less than a fortnight before Chancellor John Healey is due to deliver his tax and spending statement to the House of Commons, adding further pressure on businesses already navigating a difficult economic environment.
Against that backdrop of European instability, China offered a contrasting picture. China's GDP grew by 4.5% year-on-year between July and September, up from 4.3% in the second quarter and better than economists had forecast, according to The Guardian, citing data from China's National Bureau of Statistics. The Guardian reported that roaring exports, buoyed by global demand for electronics tied to the artificial intelligence boom, lifted factory output and offset weaker domestic consumer spending. BBC News cautioned, however, that trade tensions and doubts about the sustainability of the AI-driven surge cloud China's longer-term outlook.
Elsewhere, BBC News reported that the boss of one of Ukraine's biggest steel companies said the country had been bundled together with China in European Union tariff measures aimed at curbing cheap imports, a development the executive said was harming Ukrainian industry. In technology markets, BBC News reported that Elon Musk and AI company Anthropic both pledged public share giveaways, with Anthropic committing to create a public benefit fund ahead of its anticipated stock market listing. In the UK property market, BBC News reported that more home sellers were cutting asking prices than at any point in 15 years, with reductions recorded on approximately 3,000 properties per day, underscoring continued pressure on household finances across the country.
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